Strengthening confidence in climate change impact science

Mary I. O'Connor; Johnna M. Holding; Carrie V. Kappel; Carlos M. Duarte; Keith Brander; Christopher J. Brown; John F. Bruno; Lauren Buckley; Michael T. Burrows; Benjamin S. Halpern; Wolfgang Kiessling; Pippa Moore; John M. Pandolfi; Camille Parmesan; Elvira S. Poloczanska; David S. Schoeman; William J. Sydeman; Anthony J. Richardson

doi:10.1111/geb.12218

Strengthening confidence in climate change impact science

Mary I. O'Connor
, Johnna M. Holding
, Carrie V. Kappel
, Carlos M. Duarte
, Keith Brander
, Christopher J. Brown
, John F. Bruno
, Lauren Buckley
, Michael T. Burrows
, Benjamin S. Halpern
, Wolfgang Kiessling
, Pippa Moore
, John M. Pandolfi
, Camille Parmesan
, Elvira S. Poloczanska
, David S. Schoeman
, William J. Sydeman
, Anthony J. Richardson

科研成果: Article › 同行评审

41 引用（Scopus）

摘要

To assess confidence in conclusions about climate-driven biological change through time, and identify approaches for strengthening confidence scientific conclusions about ecological impacts of climate change. We outlined a framework for strengthening confidence in inferences drawn from biological climate impact studies through the systematic integration of prior expectations, long-term data and quantitative statistical procedures. We then developed a numerical confidence index (Cindex) and used it to evaluate current practices in 208 studies of marine climate impacts comprising 1735 biological time series.

源语言	English
页（从-至）	64-76
页数	12
期刊	GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY
卷	24
期	1
DOI	https://doi.org/10.1111/geb.12218
出版状态	Published - 1 1月 2015

联合国可持续发展目标

此成果有助于实现下列可持续发展目标：

Climate action

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10.1111/geb.12218

Michael Burrows
- michael.burrowssams.acuk
- SAMS UHI - Marine Ecologist
- Energy Innovation Team
人员: Academic - Research and Teaching or Research only

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O'Connor, M. I., Holding, J. M., Kappel, C. V., Duarte, C. M., Brander, K., Brown, C. J., Bruno, J. F., Buckley, L., Burrows, M. T., Halpern, B. S., Kiessling, W., Moore, P., Pandolfi, J. M., Parmesan, C., Poloczanska, E. S., Schoeman, D. S., Sydeman, W. J., & Richardson, A. J. (2015). Strengthening confidence in climate change impact science. GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY, 24(1), 64-76. https://doi.org/10.1111/geb.12218

@article{821ca0c4dd9e49b393ee6c929296baa3,

title = "Strengthening confidence in climate change impact science",

abstract = "To assess confidence in conclusions about climate-driven biological change through time, and identify approaches for strengthening confidence scientific conclusions about ecological impacts of climate change. We outlined a framework for strengthening confidence in inferences drawn from biological climate impact studies through the systematic integration of prior expectations, long-term data and quantitative statistical procedures. We then developed a numerical confidence index (Cindex) and used it to evaluate current practices in 208 studies of marine climate impacts comprising 1735 biological time series.",

keywords = "Abundance, attribution, climate change, distribution, hypothesis, impacts, marine, phenology, scientific method, time series",

author = "O'Connor, \{Mary I.\} and Holding, \{Johnna M.\} and Kappel, \{Carrie V.\} and Duarte, \{Carlos M.\} and Keith Brander and Brown, \{Christopher J.\} and Bruno, \{John F.\} and Lauren Buckley and Burrows, \{Michael T.\} and Halpern, \{Benjamin S.\} and Wolfgang Kiessling and Pippa Moore and Pandolfi, \{John M.\} and Camille Parmesan and Poloczanska, \{Elvira S.\} and Schoeman, \{David S.\} and Sydeman, \{William J.\} and Richardson, \{Anthony J.\}",

year = "2015",

month = jan,

day = "1",

doi = "10.1111/geb.12218",

language = "English",

volume = "24",

pages = "64--76",

journal = "GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY",

issn = "1466-822X",

publisher = "Wiley-Blackwell Publishing Ltd",

number = "1",

}

O'Connor, MI, Holding, JM, Kappel, CV, Duarte, CM, Brander, K, Brown, CJ, Bruno, JF, Buckley, L, Burrows, MT, Halpern, BS, Kiessling, W, Moore, P, Pandolfi, JM, Parmesan, C, Poloczanska, ES, Schoeman, DS, Sydeman, WJ & Richardson, AJ 2015, 'Strengthening confidence in climate change impact science', GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY, 卷 24, 号码 1, 页码 64-76. https://doi.org/10.1111/geb.12218

TY - JOUR

T1 - Strengthening confidence in climate change impact science

AU - O'Connor, Mary I.

AU - Holding, Johnna M.

AU - Kappel, Carrie V.

AU - Duarte, Carlos M.

AU - Brander, Keith

AU - Brown, Christopher J.

AU - Bruno, John F.

AU - Buckley, Lauren

AU - Burrows, Michael T.

AU - Halpern, Benjamin S.

AU - Kiessling, Wolfgang

AU - Moore, Pippa

AU - Pandolfi, John M.

AU - Parmesan, Camille

AU - Poloczanska, Elvira S.

AU - Schoeman, David S.

AU - Sydeman, William J.

AU - Richardson, Anthony J.

PY - 2015/1/1

Y1 - 2015/1/1

N2 - To assess confidence in conclusions about climate-driven biological change through time, and identify approaches for strengthening confidence scientific conclusions about ecological impacts of climate change. We outlined a framework for strengthening confidence in inferences drawn from biological climate impact studies through the systematic integration of prior expectations, long-term data and quantitative statistical procedures. We then developed a numerical confidence index (Cindex) and used it to evaluate current practices in 208 studies of marine climate impacts comprising 1735 biological time series.

AB - To assess confidence in conclusions about climate-driven biological change through time, and identify approaches for strengthening confidence scientific conclusions about ecological impacts of climate change. We outlined a framework for strengthening confidence in inferences drawn from biological climate impact studies through the systematic integration of prior expectations, long-term data and quantitative statistical procedures. We then developed a numerical confidence index (Cindex) and used it to evaluate current practices in 208 studies of marine climate impacts comprising 1735 biological time series.

KW - Abundance

KW - attribution

KW - climate change

KW - distribution

KW - hypothesis

KW - impacts

KW - marine

KW - phenology

KW - scientific method

KW - time series

U2 - 10.1111/geb.12218

DO - 10.1111/geb.12218

M3 - Article

SN - 1466-822X

VL - 24

SP - 64

EP - 76

JO - GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

JF - GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

IS - 1

ER -

Strengthening confidence in climate change impact science

摘要

联合国可持续发展目标

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指纹

概要

Michael Burrows

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