I am a quantitative ecologist with an interest in modelling biogeographic patterns of species and communities across space and time. I often use hierarchical Bayesian models and mechanistic simulations, with a particular interest in addressing the role that stochasticity and uncertainty play in our ability to predict community dynamics and responses to anthropogenic influences. My past work has included insects, mammals, and invasive plants, often in montane environments.

At SAMS, my research includes modelling sea lice dispersal dynamics using biophysical models to evaluate the potential impact of off-shore aquaculture sites, incorporating biological dynamics into short-term forecasts of harmful algal bloom risk, and building models of kelp population dynamics to identify promising areas for kelp aquaculture and to evaluate the sustainability of different harvesting regimes in the UK and South America.

Visit my software developers' GitHub pages

Bayesian modelling; climate change; population ecology; community ecology; biodiversity; simulations