Strengthening confidence in climate change impact science

Mary I. O'Connor; Johnna M. Holding; Carrie V. Kappel; Carlos M. Duarte; Keith Brander; Christopher J. Brown; John F. Bruno; Lauren Buckley; Michael T. Burrows; Benjamin S. Halpern; Wolfgang Kiessling; Pippa Moore; John M. Pandolfi; Camille Parmesan; Elvira S. Poloczanska; David S. Schoeman; William J. Sydeman; Anthony J. Richardson

doi:10.1111/geb.12218

Strengthening confidence in climate change impact science

Mary I. O'Connor
, Johnna M. Holding
, Carrie V. Kappel
, Carlos M. Duarte
, Keith Brander
, Christopher J. Brown
, John F. Bruno
, Lauren Buckley
, Michael T. Burrows
, Benjamin S. Halpern
, Wolfgang Kiessling
, Pippa Moore
, John M. Pandolfi
, Camille Parmesan
, Elvira S. Poloczanska
, David S. Schoeman
, William J. Sydeman
, Anthony J. Richardson

Résultats de recherche: Article › Revue par des pairs

41 Citations (Scopus)

Résumé

To assess confidence in conclusions about climate-driven biological change through time, and identify approaches for strengthening confidence scientific conclusions about ecological impacts of climate change. We outlined a framework for strengthening confidence in inferences drawn from biological climate impact studies through the systematic integration of prior expectations, long-term data and quantitative statistical procedures. We then developed a numerical confidence index (Cindex) and used it to evaluate current practices in 208 studies of marine climate impacts comprising 1735 biological time series.

langue originale	English
Pages (de - à)	64-76
Nombre de pages	12
journal	GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY
Volume	24
Numéro de publication	1
Les DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1111/geb.12218
état	Published - 1 janv. 2015

SDG des Nations Unies

Ce résultat contribue à ou aux Objectifs de développement durable suivants

Climate action

Accès au document

10.1111/geb.12218

Michael Burrows
- michael.burrowssams.acuk
- SAMS UHI - Marine Ecologist
- Energy Innovation Team
personne: Academic - Research and Teaching or Research only

Contient cette citation

O'Connor, M. I., Holding, J. M., Kappel, C. V., Duarte, C. M., Brander, K., Brown, C. J., Bruno, J. F., Buckley, L., Burrows, M. T., Halpern, B. S., Kiessling, W., Moore, P., Pandolfi, J. M., Parmesan, C., Poloczanska, E. S., Schoeman, D. S., Sydeman, W. J., & Richardson, A. J. (2015). Strengthening confidence in climate change impact science. GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY, 24(1), 64-76. https://doi.org/10.1111/geb.12218

@article{821ca0c4dd9e49b393ee6c929296baa3,

title = "Strengthening confidence in climate change impact science",

abstract = "To assess confidence in conclusions about climate-driven biological change through time, and identify approaches for strengthening confidence scientific conclusions about ecological impacts of climate change. We outlined a framework for strengthening confidence in inferences drawn from biological climate impact studies through the systematic integration of prior expectations, long-term data and quantitative statistical procedures. We then developed a numerical confidence index (Cindex) and used it to evaluate current practices in 208 studies of marine climate impacts comprising 1735 biological time series.",

keywords = "Abundance, attribution, climate change, distribution, hypothesis, impacts, marine, phenology, scientific method, time series",

author = "O'Connor, \{Mary I.\} and Holding, \{Johnna M.\} and Kappel, \{Carrie V.\} and Duarte, \{Carlos M.\} and Keith Brander and Brown, \{Christopher J.\} and Bruno, \{John F.\} and Lauren Buckley and Burrows, \{Michael T.\} and Halpern, \{Benjamin S.\} and Wolfgang Kiessling and Pippa Moore and Pandolfi, \{John M.\} and Camille Parmesan and Poloczanska, \{Elvira S.\} and Schoeman, \{David S.\} and Sydeman, \{William J.\} and Richardson, \{Anthony J.\}",

year = "2015",

month = jan,

day = "1",

doi = "10.1111/geb.12218",

language = "English",

volume = "24",

pages = "64--76",

journal = "GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY",

issn = "1466-822X",

publisher = "Wiley-Blackwell Publishing Ltd",

number = "1",

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O'Connor, MI, Holding, JM, Kappel, CV, Duarte, CM, Brander, K, Brown, CJ, Bruno, JF, Buckley, L, Burrows, MT, Halpern, BS, Kiessling, W, Moore, P, Pandolfi, JM, Parmesan, C, Poloczanska, ES, Schoeman, DS, Sydeman, WJ & Richardson, AJ 2015, 'Strengthening confidence in climate change impact science', GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY, VOL. 24, Numéro 1, p. 64-76. https://doi.org/10.1111/geb.12218

TY - JOUR

T1 - Strengthening confidence in climate change impact science

AU - O'Connor, Mary I.

AU - Holding, Johnna M.

AU - Kappel, Carrie V.

AU - Duarte, Carlos M.

AU - Brander, Keith

AU - Brown, Christopher J.

AU - Bruno, John F.

AU - Buckley, Lauren

AU - Burrows, Michael T.

AU - Halpern, Benjamin S.

AU - Kiessling, Wolfgang

AU - Moore, Pippa

AU - Pandolfi, John M.

AU - Parmesan, Camille

AU - Poloczanska, Elvira S.

AU - Schoeman, David S.

AU - Sydeman, William J.

AU - Richardson, Anthony J.

PY - 2015/1/1

Y1 - 2015/1/1

N2 - To assess confidence in conclusions about climate-driven biological change through time, and identify approaches for strengthening confidence scientific conclusions about ecological impacts of climate change. We outlined a framework for strengthening confidence in inferences drawn from biological climate impact studies through the systematic integration of prior expectations, long-term data and quantitative statistical procedures. We then developed a numerical confidence index (Cindex) and used it to evaluate current practices in 208 studies of marine climate impacts comprising 1735 biological time series.

AB - To assess confidence in conclusions about climate-driven biological change through time, and identify approaches for strengthening confidence scientific conclusions about ecological impacts of climate change. We outlined a framework for strengthening confidence in inferences drawn from biological climate impact studies through the systematic integration of prior expectations, long-term data and quantitative statistical procedures. We then developed a numerical confidence index (Cindex) and used it to evaluate current practices in 208 studies of marine climate impacts comprising 1735 biological time series.

KW - Abundance

KW - attribution

KW - climate change

KW - distribution

KW - hypothesis

KW - impacts

KW - marine

KW - phenology

KW - scientific method

KW - time series

U2 - 10.1111/geb.12218

DO - 10.1111/geb.12218

M3 - Article

SN - 1466-822X

VL - 24

SP - 64

EP - 76

JO - GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

JF - GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

IS - 1

ER -

Strengthening confidence in climate change impact science

Résumé

SDG des Nations Unies

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Michael Burrows

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