Abstract
To assess confidence in conclusions about climate-driven biological change through time, and identify approaches for strengthening confidence scientific conclusions about ecological impacts of climate change. We outlined a framework for strengthening confidence in inferences drawn from biological climate impact studies through the systematic integration of prior expectations, long-term data and quantitative statistical procedures. We then developed a numerical confidence index (Cindex) and used it to evaluate current practices in 208 studies of marine climate impacts comprising 1735 biological time series.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 64-76 |
Number of pages | 12 |
Journal | GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY |
Volume | 24 |
Issue number | 1 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 1 Jan 2015 |
Keywords
- Abundance
- attribution
- climate change
- distribution
- hypothesis
- impacts
- marine
- phenology
- scientific method
- time series
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Michael Burrows
- SAMS UHI - Marine Ecologist
- Energy Innovation Team
Person: Academic - Research and Teaching or Research only